(The Dragon defends his LHW Title for the first time)
MAIN CARD (PPV)
Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio Rua (light heavyweight Championship)
I don't see this as a walk in the park for Machida as the odds makers are making it out to be, but I do give the edge to Machida. I think Shogun's wild and aggressive style will be something that gives Lyoto fits early on, but as the fight wears on I'll expect Machida's accuracy to find its mark on Shogun's chin for the stoppage.
Ben Rothwell vs. Cain Velasquez
I think this is a stiff test for the fairly green Velasquez, but it will be the smothering wrestling of Cain that takes the fight via decision.
Josh Neer vs. Gleison Tibau
Battle tested Josh Neer brings a tough fight to Tibau, and with his newly reinvigorated ground game, I give Neer the edge for the TKO stoppage.
Spencer Fisher vs. Joe Stevenson
Fisher has been quoted as saying that Stevenson will lay and prey his way through the fight, I am inclined to agree that Stevenson doesnt want to deal with Fisher on the feet. Stevenson via U.D.
Anthony Johnson vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida
Tough fight for Yoshida. Expect "Rumble" to capitalize on the same defensive holes that Koscheck did for the KO win.
PRELIMINARY CARD (Spike TV)
Ryan Bader vs. Eric Schafer
I don't expect this one to stay upright for very long as both are ground fighters. I' going with the upset on this one and picking "Ravishing Red" to use his Jiu JItsu prowess to submit the Ultimate Fighter winner early in the fight.
Patrick Barry vs. Antoni Hardonk
Two former K-1 fighters get their chance to show off their bread in butter as Hardonk and Barry go after it. More than likely these fighters are not going to the ground. Both of these guys kick like mules, but I'm am going to go with Barry with the late stoppage over Hardonk.
PRELIMINARY CARD (Not televised)
Yushin Okami vs. Chael Sonnen
Okami via U.D.
Rob Kimmons vs. Jorge Rivera
Rivera via K.O.
Razak Al-Hassan vs. Kyle Kingsbury
Al-Hassan will pick up his first UFC win with a KO over Kingsbu
Stefan Struve vs. Chase Gormley
The towering Struve gets this one via submission.
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